MDM Permian Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| MDMP Stock | USD 0.01 0 11.11% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MDM Permian on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. MDM Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
MDM |
MDM Permian Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of MDM Permian on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000092, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MDM Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MDM Permian's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MDM Permian Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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MDM Permian Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MDM Permian's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MDM Permian's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 12.48, respectively. We have considered MDM Permian's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MDM Permian pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MDM Permian pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.0518 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.089 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0509 |
Predictive Modules for MDM Permian
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MDM Permian. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for MDM Permian
For every potential investor in MDM, whether a beginner or expert, MDM Permian's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MDM Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MDM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MDM Permian's price trends.View MDM Permian Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MDM Permian Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MDM Permian's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MDM Permian's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MDM Permian Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MDM Permian pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MDM Permian shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MDM Permian pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MDM Permian entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5230.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.11 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0095 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0097 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.001 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.001 |
MDM Permian Risk Indicators
The analysis of MDM Permian's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MDM Permian's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mdm pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.34 | |||
| Variance | 152.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 216.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 88.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (15.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with MDM Permian
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if MDM Permian position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MDM Permian will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to MDM Permian could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace MDM Permian when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back MDM Permian - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling MDM Permian to buy it.
The correlation of MDM Permian is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as MDM Permian moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if MDM Permian moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for MDM Permian can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for MDM Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MDM Permian's price analysis, check to measure MDM Permian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDM Permian is operating at the current time. Most of MDM Permian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDM Permian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDM Permian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDM Permian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.