Marimekko Oyj Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

MEKKO Stock  EUR 12.04  0.02  0.17%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marimekko Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 11.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.01. Marimekko Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marimekko Oyj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Marimekko Oyj is based on a synthetically constructed Marimekko Oyjdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Marimekko Oyj 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marimekko Oyj on the next trading day is expected to be 11.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marimekko Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marimekko Oyj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marimekko Oyj Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Marimekko OyjMarimekko Oyj Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Marimekko Oyj Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marimekko Oyj's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marimekko Oyj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.72 and 13.75, respectively. We have considered Marimekko Oyj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.04
11.73
Expected Value
13.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marimekko Oyj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marimekko Oyj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.3899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2469
MADMean absolute deviation0.4881
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0412
SAESum of the absolute errors20.013
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Marimekko Oyj 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Marimekko Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marimekko Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0212.0414.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2010.2212.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.9711.8712.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Marimekko Oyj

For every potential investor in Marimekko, whether a beginner or expert, Marimekko Oyj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marimekko Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marimekko. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marimekko Oyj's price trends.

Marimekko Oyj Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marimekko Oyj stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marimekko Oyj could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marimekko Oyj by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marimekko Oyj Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marimekko Oyj's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marimekko Oyj's current price.

Marimekko Oyj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marimekko Oyj stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marimekko Oyj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marimekko Oyj stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marimekko Oyj entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marimekko Oyj Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marimekko Oyj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marimekko Oyj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marimekko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Marimekko Stock

Marimekko Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marimekko Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marimekko with respect to the benefits of owning Marimekko Oyj security.