MONA Crypto Coin Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MONA Crypto  USD 0.32  0.03  10.34%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MONA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58. MONA Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MONA crypto prices and determine the direction of MONA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MONA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for MONA is based on an artificially constructed time series of MONA daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

MONA 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MONA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MONA Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MONA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MONA Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

MONA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MONA's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MONA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.75, respectively. We have considered MONA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.32
0.30
Expected Value
4.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MONA crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MONA crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.074
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0032
MADMean absolute deviation0.0109
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0398
SAESum of the absolute errors0.58
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. MONA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for MONA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MONA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.324.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.254.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MONA

For every potential investor in MONA, whether a beginner or expert, MONA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MONA Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MONA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MONA's price trends.

MONA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MONA crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MONA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MONA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MONA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MONA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MONA's current price.

MONA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MONA crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MONA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MONA crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify MONA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MONA Risk Indicators

The analysis of MONA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MONA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mona crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether MONA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MONA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mona Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MONA to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MONA's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine MONA value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, MONA's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.