Mitsui OSK Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

MSLOY Stock  USD 17.66  0.02  0.11%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mitsui OSK Lines on the next trading day is expected to be 17.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.00. Mitsui Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Mitsui OSK is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mitsui OSK Lines value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mitsui OSK Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mitsui OSK Lines on the next trading day is expected to be 17.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mitsui Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mitsui OSK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mitsui OSK Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Mitsui OSK Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mitsui OSK's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mitsui OSK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.59 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered Mitsui OSK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.66
17.51
Expected Value
19.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mitsui OSK pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mitsui OSK pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.872
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2787
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0165
SAESum of the absolute errors17.0001
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mitsui OSK Lines. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mitsui OSK. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mitsui OSK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitsui OSK Lines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7317.6619.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5914.5219.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.0717.3717.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mitsui OSK

For every potential investor in Mitsui, whether a beginner or expert, Mitsui OSK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mitsui Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mitsui. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mitsui OSK's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mitsui OSK Lines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mitsui OSK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mitsui OSK's current price.

Mitsui OSK Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mitsui OSK pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mitsui OSK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mitsui OSK pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mitsui OSK Lines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mitsui OSK Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mitsui OSK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mitsui OSK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mitsui pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Mitsui Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Mitsui OSK's price analysis, check to measure Mitsui OSK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitsui OSK is operating at the current time. Most of Mitsui OSK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitsui OSK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitsui OSK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitsui OSK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.