Meitav Dash Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MTDS Stock  ILS 2,957  58.00  2.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meitav Dash Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 2,906 with a mean absolute deviation of 41.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,598. Meitav Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Meitav Dash stock prices and determine the direction of Meitav Dash Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Meitav Dash's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Meitav Dash is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Meitav Dash Investments value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Meitav Dash Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meitav Dash Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 2,906 with a mean absolute deviation of 41.90, mean absolute percentage error of 3,366, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,598.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meitav Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meitav Dash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Meitav Dash Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Meitav DashMeitav Dash Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Meitav Dash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Meitav Dash's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meitav Dash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,903 and 2,908, respectively. We have considered Meitav Dash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,957
2,906
Expected Value
2,908
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meitav Dash stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meitav Dash stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.0699
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation41.8974
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors2597.6397
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Meitav Dash Investments. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Meitav Dash. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Meitav Dash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meitav Dash Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9542,9572,960
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6613,0163,018
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,3372,6913,044
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Meitav Dash

For every potential investor in Meitav, whether a beginner or expert, Meitav Dash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meitav Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meitav. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meitav Dash's price trends.

Meitav Dash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meitav Dash stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meitav Dash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meitav Dash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Meitav Dash Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Meitav Dash's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Meitav Dash's current price.

Meitav Dash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meitav Dash stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meitav Dash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meitav Dash stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meitav Dash Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Meitav Dash Risk Indicators

The analysis of Meitav Dash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meitav Dash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meitav stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Meitav Stock

Meitav Dash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meitav Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meitav with respect to the benefits of owning Meitav Dash security.