Maxim Power Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MXG Stock  CAD 5.49  0.19  3.58%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maxim Power Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04. Maxim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Maxim Power's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Maxim Power's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Maxim Power fundamentals over time.
  
As of the 30th of December 2024, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to 81.82, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 8.80. . As of the 30th of December 2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 51 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 44.4 M.
A naive forecasting model for Maxim Power is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Maxim Power Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Maxim Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maxim Power Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maxim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maxim Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Maxim Power Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Maxim PowerMaxim Power Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Maxim Power Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Maxim Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maxim Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.00 and 8.42, respectively. We have considered Maxim Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.49
5.71
Expected Value
8.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maxim Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maxim Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5355
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0825
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0193
SAESum of the absolute errors5.0353
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Maxim Power Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Maxim Power. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Maxim Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maxim Power Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.805.518.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.105.818.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Maxim Power

For every potential investor in Maxim, whether a beginner or expert, Maxim Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maxim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maxim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maxim Power's price trends.

Maxim Power Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maxim Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maxim Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maxim Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Maxim Power Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maxim Power's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maxim Power's current price.

Maxim Power Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maxim Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maxim Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maxim Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maxim Power Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Maxim Power Risk Indicators

The analysis of Maxim Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maxim Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maxim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Maxim Power

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Maxim Power position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Maxim Power will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Maxim Stock

  0.84BIP-PB Brookfield InfrastructurePairCorr

Moving against Maxim Stock

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  0.64MOX Morien Resources CorpPairCorr
  0.54CNQ Canadian Natural ResPairCorr
  0.51ASM Avino Silver GoldPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Maxim Power could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Maxim Power when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Maxim Power - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Maxim Power Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Maxim Power is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Maxim Power moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Maxim Power Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Maxim Power can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Maxim Stock

Maxim Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maxim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maxim with respect to the benefits of owning Maxim Power security.