Nano Crypto Coin Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NANO Crypto  USD 1.32  0.02  1.49%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nano on the next trading day is expected to be 1.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.76. Nano Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nano crypto prices and determine the direction of Nano's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nano's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Nano simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Nano are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Nano prices get older.

Nano Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nano on the next trading day is expected to be 1.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nano Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nano's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nano Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Nano Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nano's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nano's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.55, respectively. We have considered Nano's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.32
1.32
Expected Value
5.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nano crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nano crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.9014
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.008
MADMean absolute deviation0.0293
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0314
SAESum of the absolute errors1.76
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Nano forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Nano observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Nano

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nano. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.325.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.525.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nano

For every potential investor in Nano, whether a beginner or expert, Nano's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nano Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nano. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nano's price trends.

Nano Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nano crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nano could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nano by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nano Technical and Predictive Analytics

The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nano's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nano's current price.

Nano Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nano crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nano shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nano crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Nano entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nano Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nano's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nano's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nano crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Nano offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nano's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nano Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nano to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nano's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Nano value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Nano's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.