Voya Multi-manager Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

NARCX Fund  USD 55.36  0.17  0.31%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Voya Multi Manager International on the next trading day is expected to be 55.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.73. Voya Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Voya Multi-manager polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Voya Multi Manager International as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Voya Multi-manager Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Voya Multi Manager International on the next trading day is expected to be 55.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Multi-manager's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Voya Multi-manager Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Voya Multi-manager Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Voya Multi-manager's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Multi-manager's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.57 and 56.16, respectively. We have considered Voya Multi-manager's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
55.36
55.36
Expected Value
56.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Multi-manager mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Multi-manager mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.282
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.307
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0055
SAESum of the absolute errors18.7276
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Voya Multi-manager historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Voya Multi-manager

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Multi Manager. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Voya Multi-manager's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.5755.3656.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6555.4456.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
54.1154.6455.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Voya Multi-manager

For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Multi-manager's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Multi-manager's price trends.

Voya Multi-manager Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Voya Multi-manager mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Voya Multi-manager could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Voya Multi-manager by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Voya Multi Manager Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Voya Multi-manager's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Voya Multi-manager's current price.

Voya Multi-manager Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Multi-manager mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Multi-manager shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Multi-manager mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Multi Manager International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Voya Multi-manager Risk Indicators

The analysis of Voya Multi-manager's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Multi-manager's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Voya Mutual Fund

Voya Multi-manager financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Multi-manager security.
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