Wattana Karnpaet Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

NEW Stock  THB 70.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wattana Karnpaet Public on the next trading day is expected to be 62.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 413.29. Wattana Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Wattana Karnpaet polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Wattana Karnpaet Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Wattana Karnpaet Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wattana Karnpaet Public on the next trading day is expected to be 62.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.78, mean absolute percentage error of 64.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 413.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wattana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wattana Karnpaet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wattana Karnpaet Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wattana Karnpaet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wattana Karnpaet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wattana Karnpaet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.96 and 67.99, respectively. We have considered Wattana Karnpaet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
70.00
62.48
Expected Value
67.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wattana Karnpaet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wattana Karnpaet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.281
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.7753
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0936
SAESum of the absolute errors413.2937
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Wattana Karnpaet historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Wattana Karnpaet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wattana Karnpaet Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.4970.0075.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.5573.0678.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
68.4569.9971.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wattana Karnpaet

For every potential investor in Wattana, whether a beginner or expert, Wattana Karnpaet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wattana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wattana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wattana Karnpaet's price trends.

Wattana Karnpaet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wattana Karnpaet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wattana Karnpaet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wattana Karnpaet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wattana Karnpaet Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wattana Karnpaet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wattana Karnpaet's current price.

Wattana Karnpaet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wattana Karnpaet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wattana Karnpaet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wattana Karnpaet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wattana Karnpaet Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wattana Karnpaet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wattana Karnpaet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wattana Karnpaet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wattana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Wattana Stock

Wattana Karnpaet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wattana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wattana with respect to the benefits of owning Wattana Karnpaet security.