Nmb Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NMBF Stock  USD 14.00  0.90  6.87%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nmb Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.00. Nmb Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nmb Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Nmb Financial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Nmb Financial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Nmb Financial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Nmb Financial Corp.

Nmb Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nmb Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nmb Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nmb Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nmb Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Nmb Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nmb Financial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nmb Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.53 and 15.47, respectively. We have considered Nmb Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.00
14.00
Expected Value
15.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nmb Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nmb Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0508
MADMean absolute deviation0.0508
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.004
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Nmb Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Nmb Financial Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Nmb Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nmb Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5114.0015.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6313.1214.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nmb Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nmb Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nmb Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nmb Financial Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Nmb Financial

For every potential investor in Nmb, whether a beginner or expert, Nmb Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nmb Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nmb. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nmb Financial's price trends.

Nmb Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nmb Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nmb Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nmb Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nmb Financial Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nmb Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nmb Financial's current price.

Nmb Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nmb Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nmb Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nmb Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nmb Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nmb Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nmb Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nmb Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nmb pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Nmb Pink Sheet

Nmb Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nmb Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nmb with respect to the benefits of owning Nmb Financial security.