ODIN NORSK Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NO0008000056   1,111  0.08  0.01%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON on the next trading day is expected to be 1,111 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.48. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast ODIN NORSK's fund prices and determine the direction of ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
ODIN NORSK simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON prices get older.

ODIN NORSK Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON on the next trading day is expected to be 1,111 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ODIN Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ODIN NORSK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ODIN NORSK Fund Forecast Pattern

ODIN NORSK Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ODIN NORSK's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ODIN NORSK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,111 and 1,111, respectively. We have considered ODIN NORSK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,111
1,111
Expected Value
1,111
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ODIN NORSK fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ODIN NORSK fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7831
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2063
MADMean absolute deviation0.2413
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors14.48
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ODIN NORSK observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ODIN NORSK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for ODIN NORSK

For every potential investor in ODIN, whether a beginner or expert, ODIN NORSK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ODIN Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ODIN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ODIN NORSK's price trends.

ODIN NORSK Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ODIN NORSK fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ODIN NORSK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ODIN NORSK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ODIN NORSK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ODIN NORSK's current price.

ODIN NORSK Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ODIN NORSK fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ODIN NORSK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ODIN NORSK fund market strength indicators, traders can identify ODIN NORSK OBLIGASJON entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ODIN NORSK Risk Indicators

The analysis of ODIN NORSK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ODIN NORSK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting odin fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges