Nucor Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

NUO Stock  EUR 111.98  1.76  1.60%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor on the next trading day is expected to be 112.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 275.71. Nucor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nucor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Nucor is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Nucor 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor on the next trading day is expected to be 112.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.84, mean absolute percentage error of 43.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 275.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nucor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nucor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nucor Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nucor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nucor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nucor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 109.25 and 115.88, respectively. We have considered Nucor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
111.98
109.25
Downside
112.56
Expected Value
115.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nucor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nucor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5215
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.056
MADMean absolute deviation4.837
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0356
SAESum of the absolute errors275.71
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Nucor. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Nucor and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Nucor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nucor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.66111.98115.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.46100.78123.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
104.61132.07159.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nucor

For every potential investor in Nucor, whether a beginner or expert, Nucor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nucor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nucor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nucor's price trends.

Nucor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nucor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nucor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nucor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nucor Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nucor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nucor's current price.

Nucor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nucor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nucor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nucor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nucor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nucor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nucor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nucor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nucor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Nucor Stock

Nucor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nucor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nucor with respect to the benefits of owning Nucor security.