Advanced Info Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

NVAA Stock  EUR 7.95  0.30  3.64%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Advanced Info Service on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.11. Advanced Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Advanced Info's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Advanced Info is based on an artificially constructed time series of Advanced Info daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Advanced Info 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Advanced Info Service on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Advanced Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Advanced Info's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Advanced Info Stock Forecast Pattern

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Advanced Info Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Advanced Info's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Advanced Info's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.81 and 10.25, respectively. We have considered Advanced Info's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.95
8.03
Expected Value
10.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Advanced Info stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Advanced Info stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.346
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0725
MADMean absolute deviation0.1718
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors9.1063
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Advanced Info Service 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Advanced Info

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Info Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.737.9510.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.537.759.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advanced Info. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advanced Info's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advanced Info's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Advanced Info Service.

Other Forecasting Options for Advanced Info

For every potential investor in Advanced, whether a beginner or expert, Advanced Info's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Advanced Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Advanced. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Advanced Info's price trends.

Advanced Info Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Advanced Info stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Advanced Info could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advanced Info by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Advanced Info Service Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Advanced Info's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Advanced Info's current price.

Advanced Info Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Advanced Info stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Advanced Info shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Advanced Info stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Advanced Info Service entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Advanced Info Risk Indicators

The analysis of Advanced Info's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Advanced Info's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting advanced stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Advanced Stock

Advanced Info financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advanced Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advanced with respect to the benefits of owning Advanced Info security.