GraniteShares 15x Etf Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

NVD Etf   32.81  0.67  2.08%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GraniteShares 15x Short on the next trading day is expected to be 30.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.10. GraniteShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GraniteShares 15x stock prices and determine the direction of GraniteShares 15x Short's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GraniteShares 15x's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for GraniteShares 15x is based on an artificially constructed time series of GraniteShares 15x daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

GraniteShares 15x 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GraniteShares 15x Short on the next trading day is expected to be 30.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.55, mean absolute percentage error of 9.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GraniteShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GraniteShares 15x's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GraniteShares 15x Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest GraniteShares 15xGraniteShares 15x Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GraniteShares 15x Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GraniteShares 15x's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GraniteShares 15x's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.97 and 36.27, respectively. We have considered GraniteShares 15x's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.81
30.62
Expected Value
36.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GraniteShares 15x etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GraniteShares 15x etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.6422
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.5188
MADMean absolute deviation2.5491
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0738
SAESum of the absolute errors135.1025
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. GraniteShares 15x Short 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for GraniteShares 15x

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares 15x Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GraniteShares 15x's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.6033.3039.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0832.7838.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.1529.6533.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GraniteShares 15x

For every potential investor in GraniteShares, whether a beginner or expert, GraniteShares 15x's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GraniteShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GraniteShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GraniteShares 15x's price trends.

GraniteShares 15x Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GraniteShares 15x etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GraniteShares 15x could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GraniteShares 15x by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GraniteShares 15x Short Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GraniteShares 15x's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GraniteShares 15x's current price.

GraniteShares 15x Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GraniteShares 15x etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GraniteShares 15x shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GraniteShares 15x etf market strength indicators, traders can identify GraniteShares 15x Short entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GraniteShares 15x Risk Indicators

The analysis of GraniteShares 15x's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GraniteShares 15x's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting graniteshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether GraniteShares 15x Short is a strong investment it is important to analyze GraniteShares 15x's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GraniteShares 15x's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GraniteShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GraniteShares 15x to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
The market value of GraniteShares 15x Short is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares 15x's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares 15x's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares 15x's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares 15x's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares 15x's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares 15x is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares 15x's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.