Oppenhmr Discovery Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

OEGYX Fund  USD 34.18  0.55  1.64%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oppenhmr Discovery Mid on the next trading day is expected to be 34.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.05. Oppenhmr Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Oppenhmr Discovery simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Oppenhmr Discovery Mid are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Oppenhmr Discovery Mid prices get older.

Oppenhmr Discovery Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oppenhmr Discovery Mid on the next trading day is expected to be 34.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oppenhmr Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oppenhmr Discovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oppenhmr Discovery Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Oppenhmr Discovery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oppenhmr Discovery's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oppenhmr Discovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.90 and 35.46, respectively. We have considered Oppenhmr Discovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.18
34.18
Expected Value
35.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oppenhmr Discovery mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oppenhmr Discovery mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5638
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0123
MADMean absolute deviation0.3287
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0093
SAESum of the absolute errors20.05
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Oppenhmr Discovery Mid forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Oppenhmr Discovery observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Oppenhmr Discovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenhmr Discovery Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oppenhmr Discovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.9034.1835.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.2834.5635.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.5636.5239.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oppenhmr Discovery

For every potential investor in Oppenhmr, whether a beginner or expert, Oppenhmr Discovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oppenhmr Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oppenhmr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oppenhmr Discovery's price trends.

Oppenhmr Discovery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oppenhmr Discovery mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oppenhmr Discovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oppenhmr Discovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oppenhmr Discovery Mid Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oppenhmr Discovery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oppenhmr Discovery's current price.

Oppenhmr Discovery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oppenhmr Discovery mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oppenhmr Discovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oppenhmr Discovery mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Oppenhmr Discovery Mid entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oppenhmr Discovery Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oppenhmr Discovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oppenhmr Discovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oppenhmr mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Oppenhmr Mutual Fund

Oppenhmr Discovery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oppenhmr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oppenhmr with respect to the benefits of owning Oppenhmr Discovery security.
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