Omnia Holdings Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

OMN Stock   7,291  39.00  0.53%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Omnia Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 7,315 with a mean absolute deviation of 68.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,030. Omnia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Omnia Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Omnia Holdings Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Omnia Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Omnia Holdings works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Omnia Holdings Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Omnia Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 7,315 with a mean absolute deviation of 68.30, mean absolute percentage error of 7,047, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,030.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Omnia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Omnia Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Omnia Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Omnia Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Omnia Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Omnia Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7,314 and 7,317, respectively. We have considered Omnia Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7,291
7,315
Expected Value
7,317
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Omnia Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Omnia Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -13.792
MADMean absolute deviation68.3012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors4029.769
When Omnia Holdings Limited prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Omnia Holdings Limited trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Omnia Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Omnia Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omnia Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,2907,2917,292
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,5546,5558,020
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
6,3096,9487,588
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Omnia Holdings

For every potential investor in Omnia, whether a beginner or expert, Omnia Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Omnia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Omnia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Omnia Holdings' price trends.

Omnia Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Omnia Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Omnia Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Omnia Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Omnia Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Omnia Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Omnia Holdings' current price.

Omnia Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Omnia Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Omnia Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Omnia Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Omnia Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Omnia Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Omnia Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Omnia Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omnia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Omnia Stock

Omnia Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Omnia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Omnia with respect to the benefits of owning Omnia Holdings security.