OnMobile Global Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ONMOBILE | 76.85 0.94 1.21% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OnMobile Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 76.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.49. OnMobile Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although OnMobile Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of OnMobile Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of OnMobile Global fundamentals over time.
OnMobile |
OnMobile Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OnMobile Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 76.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82, mean absolute percentage error of 7.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OnMobile Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OnMobile Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OnMobile Global Stock Forecast Pattern
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OnMobile Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OnMobile Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OnMobile Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.55 and 80.20, respectively. We have considered OnMobile Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OnMobile Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OnMobile Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.276 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1045 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8248 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0221 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 109.4896 |
Predictive Modules for OnMobile Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OnMobile Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for OnMobile Global
For every potential investor in OnMobile, whether a beginner or expert, OnMobile Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OnMobile Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OnMobile. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OnMobile Global's price trends.OnMobile Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OnMobile Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OnMobile Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OnMobile Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OnMobile Global Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OnMobile Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OnMobile Global's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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OnMobile Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OnMobile Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OnMobile Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OnMobile Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OnMobile Global Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
OnMobile Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of OnMobile Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OnMobile Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onmobile stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Variance | 10.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in OnMobile Stock
OnMobile Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether OnMobile Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OnMobile with respect to the benefits of owning OnMobile Global security.