Planet Fitness Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

P2LN34 Stock   76.40  0.48  0.63%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Planet Fitness on the next trading day is expected to be 53.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.81. Planet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Planet Fitness stock prices and determine the direction of Planet Fitness's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Planet Fitness' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Planet Fitness price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Planet Fitness Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Planet Fitness on the next trading day is expected to be 53.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.56, mean absolute percentage error of 84.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Planet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Planet Fitness' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Planet Fitness Stock Forecast Pattern

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Planet Fitness Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Planet Fitness' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Planet Fitness' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.55 and 64.45, respectively. We have considered Planet Fitness' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
76.40
53.00
Expected Value
64.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Planet Fitness stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Planet Fitness stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.3857
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.5615
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1368
SAESum of the absolute errors406.8126
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Planet Fitness historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Planet Fitness

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Planet Fitness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.9576.4087.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.8167.2678.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.1152.7587.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Planet Fitness. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Planet Fitness' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Planet Fitness' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Planet Fitness.

Other Forecasting Options for Planet Fitness

For every potential investor in Planet, whether a beginner or expert, Planet Fitness' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Planet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Planet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Planet Fitness' price trends.

Planet Fitness Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Planet Fitness stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Planet Fitness could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Planet Fitness by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Planet Fitness Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Planet Fitness' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Planet Fitness' current price.

Planet Fitness Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Planet Fitness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Planet Fitness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Planet Fitness stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Planet Fitness entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Planet Fitness Risk Indicators

The analysis of Planet Fitness' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Planet Fitness' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting planet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Planet Stock

When determining whether Planet Fitness is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Planet Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Planet Fitness Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Planet Fitness Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Planet Fitness to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Planet Stock refer to our How to Trade Planet Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Planet Fitness' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Planet Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Planet Fitness' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.