Paramount Global Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PARAPDelisted Preferred Stock  USD 22.27  0.19  0.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Paramount Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.51. Paramount Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Paramount Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Paramount Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Paramount Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Paramount Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Paramount Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Paramount Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Paramount Global Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Paramount GlobalParamount Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paramount Global preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paramount Global preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.613
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5494
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0228
SAESum of the absolute errors33.511
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Paramount Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Paramount Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Paramount Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paramount Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.2722.2722.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.1920.1924.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.8322.9424.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Paramount Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Paramount Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Paramount Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Paramount Global.

Paramount Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paramount Global preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paramount Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paramount Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Paramount Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paramount Global preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paramount Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paramount Global preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paramount Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Paramount Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Paramount Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paramount Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paramount preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Paramount Global

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Paramount Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Paramount Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Paramount Preferred Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Paramount Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Paramount Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Paramount Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Paramount Global to buy it.
The correlation of Paramount Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Paramount Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Paramount Global moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Paramount Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in Paramount Preferred Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Paramount Global check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Paramount Global's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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