Pargesa Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PARGDelisted Stock | 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pargesa Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be -0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03. Pargesa Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pargesa Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Pargesa |
Pargesa Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pargesa Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be -0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pargesa Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pargesa Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pargesa Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pargesa Holding | Pargesa Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pargesa Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pargesa Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.8095 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0334 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.5322 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0345 |
Predictive Modules for Pargesa Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pargesa Holding SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.View Pargesa Holding Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pargesa Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pargesa Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pargesa Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pargesa Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pargesa Holding SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0102 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0102 |
Pargesa Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pargesa Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pargesa Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pargesa pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 12.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 18.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 27.15 | |||
| Variance | 737.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1661.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 357.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (29.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Other Consideration for investing in Pargesa Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Pargesa Holding SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Pargesa Holding's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |