PG E Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

PCG6 Stock  EUR 21.80  0.20  0.91%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PG E P6 on the next trading day is expected to be 21.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.64. PCG6 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PG E's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for PG E is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

PG E Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PG E P6 on the next trading day is expected to be 21.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PCG6 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PG E's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PG E Stock Forecast Pattern

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PG E Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PG E's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PG E's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.70 and 22.90, respectively. We have considered PG E's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.80
21.80
Expected Value
22.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PG E stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PG E stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.3626
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0347
MADMean absolute deviation0.1633
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors9.635
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of PG E P6 price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of PG E. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for PG E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PG E P6. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.6921.8022.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4521.5622.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.5621.9422.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PG E. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PG E's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PG E's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PG E P6.

Other Forecasting Options for PG E

For every potential investor in PCG6, whether a beginner or expert, PG E's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PCG6 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PCG6. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PG E's price trends.

PG E Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PG E stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PG E could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PG E by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PG E P6 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PG E's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PG E's current price.

PG E Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PG E stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PG E shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PG E stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PG E P6 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PG E Risk Indicators

The analysis of PG E's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PG E's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pcg6 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in PCG6 Stock

PG E financial ratios help investors to determine whether PCG6 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PCG6 with respect to the benefits of owning PG E security.