P2 Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PGLDF Stock  USD 0.05  0  4.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of P2 Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. PGLDF OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of P2 Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for P2 Gold is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of P2 Gold value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

P2 Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of P2 Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PGLDF OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that P2 Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

P2 Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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P2 Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting P2 Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. P2 Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 7.46, respectively. We have considered P2 Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.05
0.0005
Downside
0.06
Expected Value
7.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of P2 Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent P2 Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.1342
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0577
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1943
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of P2 Gold. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict P2 Gold. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for P2 Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as P2 Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of P2 Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.057.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.057.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for P2 Gold

For every potential investor in PGLDF, whether a beginner or expert, P2 Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PGLDF OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PGLDF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying P2 Gold's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

P2 Gold Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of P2 Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of P2 Gold's current price.

P2 Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how P2 Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading P2 Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying P2 Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify P2 Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

P2 Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of P2 Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in P2 Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pgldf otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in PGLDF OTC Stock

P2 Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether PGLDF OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PGLDF with respect to the benefits of owning P2 Gold security.