Parker Hannifin Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| PH Stock | USD 699.88 6.97 0.99% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 731.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 698.66. Parker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Parker Hannifin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Parker |
Parker Hannifin Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 731.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.45, mean absolute percentage error of 245.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 698.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parker Hannifin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Parker Hannifin Stock Forecast Pattern
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Parker Hannifin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Parker Hannifin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Parker Hannifin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 729.84 and 732.92, respectively. We have considered Parker Hannifin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parker Hannifin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parker Hannifin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.6146 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.4535 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 698.6622 |
Predictive Modules for Parker Hannifin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parker Hannifin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Parker Hannifin
For every potential investor in Parker, whether a beginner or expert, Parker Hannifin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Parker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Parker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Parker Hannifin's price trends.Parker Hannifin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parker Hannifin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parker Hannifin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parker Hannifin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Parker Hannifin Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Parker Hannifin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Parker Hannifin's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Parker Hannifin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parker Hannifin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parker Hannifin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parker Hannifin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Parker Hannifin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0169 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.58) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 703.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 702.62 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 12.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (7.59) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.97) |
Parker Hannifin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Parker Hannifin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Parker Hannifin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting parker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9213 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8592 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7382 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parker Hannifin to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Parker Stock please use our How to Invest in Parker Hannifin guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Parker Hannifin. If investors know Parker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Parker Hannifin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.07 | Dividend Share 6.22 | Earnings Share 22.19 | Revenue Per Share 155.467 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.012 |
The market value of Parker Hannifin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Parker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Parker Hannifin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Parker Hannifin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Parker Hannifin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Parker Hannifin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Parker Hannifin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Parker Hannifin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Parker Hannifin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.