PJT Partners Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PJT Stock  USD 165.29  2.07  1.24%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PJT Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 166.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.37. PJT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, PJT Partners' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 1.03 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 35.08 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 109.3 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 35.8 M in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 PJT Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PJT Partners' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PJT Partners' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PJT Partners stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PJT Partners' open interest, investors have to compare it to PJT Partners' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PJT Partners is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PJT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triple exponential smoothing for PJT Partners - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When PJT Partners prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in PJT Partners price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of PJT Partners.

PJT Partners Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PJT Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 166.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40, mean absolute percentage error of 13.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PJT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PJT Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PJT Partners Stock Forecast Pattern

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PJT Partners Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PJT Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PJT Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 163.79 and 168.73, respectively. We have considered PJT Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
165.29
163.79
Downside
166.26
Expected Value
168.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PJT Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PJT Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5814
MADMean absolute deviation2.3961
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0165
SAESum of the absolute errors141.3686
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past PJT Partners observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older PJT Partners observations.

Predictive Modules for PJT Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PJT Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
164.43166.90169.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
133.96136.43184.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
132.29152.07171.84
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.3690.50100.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PJT Partners

For every potential investor in PJT, whether a beginner or expert, PJT Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PJT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PJT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PJT Partners' price trends.

PJT Partners Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PJT Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PJT Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PJT Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PJT Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PJT Partners' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PJT Partners' current price.

PJT Partners Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PJT Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PJT Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PJT Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PJT Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PJT Partners Risk Indicators

The analysis of PJT Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PJT Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pjt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for PJT Stock Analysis

When running PJT Partners' price analysis, check to measure PJT Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PJT Partners is operating at the current time. Most of PJT Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PJT Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PJT Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PJT Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.