Peak Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PKREF Stock  USD 0.13  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peak Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Peak Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Peak Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Peak Resources - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Peak Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Peak Resources price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Peak Resources.

Peak Resources Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peak Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peak Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peak Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peak Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Peak Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peak Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peak Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.13 and 0.13, respectively. We have considered Peak Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.13
0.13
Expected Value
0.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peak Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peak Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Peak Resources observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Peak Resources Limited observations.

Predictive Modules for Peak Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peak Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Peak Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.110.110.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Peak Resources

For every potential investor in Peak, whether a beginner or expert, Peak Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peak Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peak Resources' price trends.

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Peak Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Peak Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Peak Resources' current price.

Peak Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peak Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peak Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peak Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Peak Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Peak Pink Sheet

Peak Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peak Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peak with respect to the benefits of owning Peak Resources security.