PSQ Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PSQH Stock | 4.10 0.11 2.61% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PSQ Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.73. PSQ Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PSQ Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
PSQ |
PSQ Holdings Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the PSQ Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 16.4 M | Current Value 17.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 5.8 M |
PSQ Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PSQ Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PSQ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PSQ Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PSQ Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
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PSQ Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PSQ Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PSQ Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 40.08, respectively. We have considered PSQ Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PSQ Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PSQ Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3041 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3398 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.7294 |
Predictive Modules for PSQ Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PSQ Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for PSQ Holdings
For every potential investor in PSQ, whether a beginner or expert, PSQ Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PSQ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PSQ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PSQ Holdings' price trends.PSQ Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PSQ Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PSQ Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PSQ Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PSQ Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PSQ Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PSQ Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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PSQ Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PSQ Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PSQ Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PSQ Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PSQ Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PSQ Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of PSQ Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PSQ Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting psq stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 34.11 | |||
| Variance | 1163.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 63.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (14.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether PSQ Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PSQ Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Psq Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Psq Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PSQ Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PSQ Stock please use our How to Invest in PSQ Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PSQ Holdings. If investors know PSQ will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PSQ Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.26) | Revenue Per Share 0.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 10.299 | Return On Assets (0.89) | Return On Equity (6.25) |
The market value of PSQ Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PSQ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PSQ Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PSQ Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PSQ Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PSQ Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PSQ Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PSQ Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PSQ Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.