SOLOCAL GROUP Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

QS3 Stock   2.43  0.02  0.83%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SOLOCAL GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 2.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.35. SOLOCAL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SOLOCAL GROUP stock prices and determine the direction of SOLOCAL GROUP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SOLOCAL GROUP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for SOLOCAL GROUP is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

SOLOCAL GROUP 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of SOLOCAL GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 2.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SOLOCAL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SOLOCAL GROUP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SOLOCAL GROUP Stock Forecast Pattern

SOLOCAL GROUP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SOLOCAL GROUP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SOLOCAL GROUP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 40.73, respectively. We have considered SOLOCAL GROUP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.43
2.42
Expected Value
40.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SOLOCAL GROUP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SOLOCAL GROUP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.5842
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0668
MADMean absolute deviation0.1464
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0871
SAESum of the absolute errors8.345
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of SOLOCAL GROUP. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for SOLOCAL GROUP and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for SOLOCAL GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOLOCAL GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.4340.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.7240.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SOLOCAL GROUP

For every potential investor in SOLOCAL, whether a beginner or expert, SOLOCAL GROUP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SOLOCAL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SOLOCAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SOLOCAL GROUP's price trends.

SOLOCAL GROUP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SOLOCAL GROUP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SOLOCAL GROUP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SOLOCAL GROUP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SOLOCAL GROUP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SOLOCAL GROUP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SOLOCAL GROUP's current price.

SOLOCAL GROUP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SOLOCAL GROUP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SOLOCAL GROUP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SOLOCAL GROUP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SOLOCAL GROUP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SOLOCAL GROUP Risk Indicators

The analysis of SOLOCAL GROUP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SOLOCAL GROUP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solocal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SOLOCAL Stock

SOLOCAL GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOLOCAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOLOCAL with respect to the benefits of owning SOLOCAL GROUP security.