Rocket Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

RCKT Stock  USD 14.39  0.19  1.34%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rocket Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 14.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.20. Rocket Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 0.43 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 88.2 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (189.7 M).
Triple exponential smoothing for Rocket Pharmaceuticals - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Rocket Pharmaceuticals prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Rocket Pharmaceuticals price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Rocket Pharmaceuticals.

Rocket Pharmaceuticals Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rocket Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 14.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rocket Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rocket Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rocket Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rocket Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rocket Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rocket Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.56 and 18.33, respectively. We have considered Rocket Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.39
14.45
Expected Value
18.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rocket Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rocket Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0933
MADMean absolute deviation0.5628
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0318
SAESum of the absolute errors33.2044
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Rocket Pharmaceuticals observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Rocket Pharmaceuticals observations.

Predictive Modules for Rocket Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rocket Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2614.1418.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9522.7226.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.6713.7914.92
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rocket Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Rocket, whether a beginner or expert, Rocket Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rocket Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rocket. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rocket Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rocket Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rocket Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rocket Pharmaceuticals' current price.

Rocket Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rocket Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rocket Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rocket Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rocket Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rocket Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rocket Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rocket Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rocket stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Rocket Stock Analysis

When running Rocket Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Rocket Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rocket Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Rocket Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rocket Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rocket Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rocket Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.