Regulus Resources OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

RGLSF Stock  USD 1.42  0.02  1.43%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regulus Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 1.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98. Regulus OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regulus Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Regulus Resources - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Regulus Resources prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Regulus Resources price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Regulus Resources.

Regulus Resources Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regulus Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 1.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regulus OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regulus Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Regulus Resources OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Regulus Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Regulus Resources' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regulus Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.05, respectively. We have considered Regulus Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.42
1.42
Expected Value
3.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regulus Resources otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regulus Resources otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 9.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0166
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9821
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Regulus Resources observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Regulus Resources observations.

Predictive Modules for Regulus Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regulus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regulus Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.403.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.433.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Regulus Resources

For every potential investor in Regulus, whether a beginner or expert, Regulus Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regulus OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regulus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regulus Resources' price trends.

Regulus Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regulus Resources otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regulus Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regulus Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Regulus Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Regulus Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Regulus Resources' current price.

Regulus Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regulus Resources otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regulus Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regulus Resources otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regulus Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Regulus Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Regulus Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regulus Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regulus otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Regulus OTC Stock

Regulus Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regulus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regulus with respect to the benefits of owning Regulus Resources security.