Victory Rs Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Victory Rs works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Victory Rs Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Victory Rs Value on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.08.

Victory Rs Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Victory Rs

Victory Rs Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Victory Rs Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Victory Rs mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Victory Rs mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Victory Rs Value prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Victory Rs Value trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Victory Rs observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Victory Rs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Rs Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 23.28 24.66 26.04 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 23.84 25.22 26.60 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Victory Rs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Victory Rs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Victory Rs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Victory Rs Value.

Other Forecasting Options for Victory Rs

For every potential investor in Victory, whether a beginner or expert, Victory Rs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Victory Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Victory. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Victory Rs' price trends.

Victory Rs Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Victory Rs Value Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Victory Rs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Victory Rs' current price.

Victory Rs Market Strength Events

Victory Rs Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund