RIWI Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RWCRF Stock  USD 0.43  0.02  4.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RIWI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52. RIWI Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RIWI Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for RIWI Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RIWI Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RIWI Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RIWI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RIWI Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RIWI Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RIWI Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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RIWI Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RIWI Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RIWI Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.49, respectively. We have considered RIWI Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.43
0.43
Expected Value
3.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RIWI Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RIWI Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.1652
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0086
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors0.522
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RIWI Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RIWI Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RIWI Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RIWI Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.433.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.393.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RIWI Corp

For every potential investor in RIWI, whether a beginner or expert, RIWI Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RIWI Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RIWI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RIWI Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

RIWI Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RIWI Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RIWI Corp's current price.

RIWI Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RIWI Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RIWI Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RIWI Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify RIWI Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RIWI Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of RIWI Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RIWI Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting riwi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in RIWI Pink Sheet

RIWI Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether RIWI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RIWI with respect to the benefits of owning RIWI Corp security.