Satellogic Warrant Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SATLW Stock | USD 0.47 0.01 1.96% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Satellogic Warrant on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.62. Satellogic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Satellogic |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Satellogic Warrant's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-03-31 | Previous Quarter 25.6 M | Current Value 25.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 35.8 M |
Satellogic Warrant Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Satellogic Warrant on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Satellogic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Satellogic Warrant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Satellogic Warrant Stock Forecast Pattern
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Satellogic Warrant Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Satellogic Warrant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Satellogic Warrant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 38.37, respectively. We have considered Satellogic Warrant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Satellogic Warrant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Satellogic Warrant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8168 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.043 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6241 |
Predictive Modules for Satellogic Warrant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Satellogic Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Satellogic Warrant
For every potential investor in Satellogic, whether a beginner or expert, Satellogic Warrant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Satellogic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Satellogic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Satellogic Warrant's price trends.Satellogic Warrant Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Satellogic Warrant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Satellogic Warrant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Satellogic Warrant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Satellogic Warrant Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Satellogic Warrant's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Satellogic Warrant's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Satellogic Warrant Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Satellogic Warrant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Satellogic Warrant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Satellogic Warrant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Satellogic Warrant entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Satellogic Warrant Risk Indicators
The analysis of Satellogic Warrant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Satellogic Warrant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting satellogic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 21.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 14.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 31.47 | |||
| Variance | 990.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 456.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 210.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (34.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Satellogic Stock Analysis
When running Satellogic Warrant's price analysis, check to measure Satellogic Warrant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Satellogic Warrant is operating at the current time. Most of Satellogic Warrant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Satellogic Warrant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Satellogic Warrant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Satellogic Warrant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.