Schindler Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SHLAF Stock  USD 287.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schindler Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 292.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.18. Schindler Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Schindler Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Schindler Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Schindler Holding AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Schindler Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Schindler Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 292.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61, mean absolute percentage error of 4.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Schindler Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Schindler Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Schindler Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Schindler Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Schindler Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Schindler Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 291.97 and 293.17, respectively. We have considered Schindler Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
287.00
291.97
Downside
292.57
Expected Value
293.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Schindler Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Schindler Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5523
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.6094
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0056
SAESum of the absolute errors98.1753
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Schindler Holding AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Schindler Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Schindler Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schindler Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
286.40287.00287.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
258.30287.91288.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Schindler Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Schindler Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Schindler Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Schindler Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Schindler Holding

For every potential investor in Schindler, whether a beginner or expert, Schindler Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Schindler Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Schindler. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Schindler Holding's price trends.

Schindler Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Schindler Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Schindler Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Schindler Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Schindler Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Schindler Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Schindler Holding's current price.

Schindler Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Schindler Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Schindler Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Schindler Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Schindler Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Schindler Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Schindler Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Schindler Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting schindler pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Schindler Pink Sheet

Schindler Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schindler Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schindler with respect to the benefits of owning Schindler Holding security.