Safety Shot Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

SHOTW Stock   0.18  0.01  5.88%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Safety Shot on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.23. Safety Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Safety Shot's Total Current Liabilities is fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Stockholder Equity is likely to climb to about 6.9 M in 2024, whereas Property Plant And Equipment Net is likely to drop slightly above 458.6 K in 2024.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Safety Shot is based on a synthetically constructed Safety Shotdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Safety Shot 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Safety Shot on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Safety Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Safety Shot's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Safety Shot Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Safety ShotSafety Shot Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Safety Shot Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Safety Shot's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Safety Shot's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 18.45, respectively. We have considered Safety Shot's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.18
0.17
Expected Value
18.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Safety Shot stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Safety Shot stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria74.8799
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.002
MADMean absolute deviation0.0299
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1999
SAESum of the absolute errors1.2275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Safety Shot 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Safety Shot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safety Shot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Safety Shot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1518.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1418.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Safety Shot

For every potential investor in Safety, whether a beginner or expert, Safety Shot's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Safety Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Safety. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Safety Shot's price trends.

Safety Shot Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Safety Shot stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Safety Shot could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safety Shot by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Safety Shot Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Safety Shot's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Safety Shot's current price.

Safety Shot Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Safety Shot stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Safety Shot shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Safety Shot stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Safety Shot entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Safety Shot Risk Indicators

The analysis of Safety Shot's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Safety Shot's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting safety stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Safety Stock Analysis

When running Safety Shot's price analysis, check to measure Safety Shot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safety Shot is operating at the current time. Most of Safety Shot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safety Shot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safety Shot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safety Shot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.