Skane Mollan Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SKMO Stock | SEK 49.00 1.50 2.97% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Skane mollan AB on the next trading day is expected to be 49.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.29. Skane Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Skane |
Skane Mollan Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Skane mollan AB on the next trading day is expected to be 49.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skane Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skane Mollan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Skane Mollan Stock Forecast Pattern
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Skane Mollan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Skane Mollan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skane Mollan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.17 and 52.10, respectively. We have considered Skane Mollan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skane Mollan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skane Mollan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2557 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2591 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.2856 |
Predictive Modules for Skane Mollan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skane mollan AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Skane Mollan
For every potential investor in Skane, whether a beginner or expert, Skane Mollan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skane Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skane. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skane Mollan's price trends.Skane Mollan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skane Mollan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skane Mollan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skane Mollan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Skane mollan AB Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Skane Mollan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Skane Mollan's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Skane Mollan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skane Mollan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skane Mollan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skane Mollan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skane mollan AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Skane Mollan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Skane Mollan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skane Mollan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skane stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Variance | 8.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Skane Stock Analysis
When running Skane Mollan's price analysis, check to measure Skane Mollan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skane Mollan is operating at the current time. Most of Skane Mollan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skane Mollan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skane Mollan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skane Mollan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.