Silicon Laboratories Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SLAB Stock  USD 110.65  1.87  1.72%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silicon Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 110.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.70. Silicon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Silicon Laboratories stock prices and determine the direction of Silicon Laboratories's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Silicon Laboratories' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Silicon Laboratories' Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 4.90, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 7.74. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 37 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 155.1 M.
Silicon Laboratories simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Silicon Laboratories are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Silicon Laboratories prices get older.

Silicon Laboratories Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silicon Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 110.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.21, mean absolute percentage error of 8.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silicon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silicon Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silicon Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

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Silicon Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silicon Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silicon Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 107.99 and 113.31, respectively. We have considered Silicon Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
110.65
107.99
Downside
110.65
Expected Value
113.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silicon Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silicon Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4233
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0853
MADMean absolute deviation2.2117
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors132.7
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Silicon Laboratories forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Silicon Laboratories observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Silicon Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silicon Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.45111.11113.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.59133.82136.48
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
143.91158.14175.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.43-0.43-0.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Silicon Laboratories. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Silicon Laboratories' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Silicon Laboratories' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Silicon Laboratories.

Other Forecasting Options for Silicon Laboratories

For every potential investor in Silicon, whether a beginner or expert, Silicon Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silicon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silicon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silicon Laboratories' price trends.

Silicon Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silicon Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silicon Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silicon Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silicon Laboratories Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silicon Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silicon Laboratories' current price.

Silicon Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silicon Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silicon Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silicon Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silicon Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silicon Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silicon Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silicon Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silicon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Silicon Laboratories offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Silicon Laboratories' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Silicon Laboratories Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Silicon Laboratories Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silicon Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Silicon Stock refer to our How to Trade Silicon Stock guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silicon Laboratories. If investors know Silicon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silicon Laboratories listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
Earnings Share
(7.41)
Revenue Per Share
15.757
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Return On Assets
(0.09)
The market value of Silicon Laboratories is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silicon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silicon Laboratories' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silicon Laboratories' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silicon Laboratories' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silicon Laboratories' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silicon Laboratories' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silicon Laboratories is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silicon Laboratories' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.