Sumitomo Metal Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SMMYY Stock  USD 6.08  0.01  0.16%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sumitomo Metal Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 6.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.60. Sumitomo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Sumitomo Metal is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Sumitomo Metal Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sumitomo Metal Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 6.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sumitomo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sumitomo Metal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sumitomo Metal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Sumitomo Metal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sumitomo Metal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sumitomo Metal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.86 and 8.30, respectively. We have considered Sumitomo Metal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.08
6.08
Expected Value
8.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sumitomo Metal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sumitomo Metal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8234
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0151
MADMean absolute deviation0.1267
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors7.605
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sumitomo Metal Mining price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sumitomo Metal. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Sumitomo Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sumitomo Metal Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sumitomo Metal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.866.088.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.245.467.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sumitomo Metal

For every potential investor in Sumitomo, whether a beginner or expert, Sumitomo Metal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sumitomo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sumitomo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sumitomo Metal's price trends.

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Sumitomo Metal Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sumitomo Metal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sumitomo Metal's current price.

Sumitomo Metal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sumitomo Metal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sumitomo Metal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sumitomo Metal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sumitomo Metal Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sumitomo Metal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sumitomo Metal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sumitomo Metal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sumitomo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Sumitomo Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Sumitomo Metal's price analysis, check to measure Sumitomo Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sumitomo Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Sumitomo Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sumitomo Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sumitomo Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sumitomo Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.