Silver Range Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SNG Stock  CAD 0.09  0.01  20.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silver Range Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.32. Silver Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to -2.59 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 2.30 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 88 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (1.4 M) in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Silver Range is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Silver Range Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Silver Range Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silver Range Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silver Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silver Range's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silver Range Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Silver RangeSilver Range Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Silver Range Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silver Range's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silver Range's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 10.13, respectively. We have considered Silver Range's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.1
Expected Value
10.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silver Range stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silver Range stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.0371
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0052
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0698
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3165
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Silver Range Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Silver Range. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Silver Range

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Range Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0910.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0710.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Silver Range

For every potential investor in Silver, whether a beginner or expert, Silver Range's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silver Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silver Range's price trends.

Silver Range Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silver Range stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silver Range could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silver Range by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silver Range Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silver Range's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silver Range's current price.

Silver Range Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silver Range stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silver Range shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silver Range stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silver Range Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silver Range Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silver Range's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silver Range's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silver stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Silver Stock Analysis

When running Silver Range's price analysis, check to measure Silver Range's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Silver Range is operating at the current time. Most of Silver Range's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Silver Range's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Silver Range's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Silver Range to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.