Silver Spike Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SSICDelisted Stock  USD 12.80  0.08  0.62%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silver Spike Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 12.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.03. Silver Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Silver Spike stock prices and determine the direction of Silver Spike Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Silver Spike's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Silver Spike - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Silver Spike prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Silver Spike price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Silver Spike Investment.

Silver Spike Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Silver Spike Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 12.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silver Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silver Spike's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silver Spike Stock Forecast Pattern

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Silver Spike Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silver Spike's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silver Spike's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.25 and 14.34, respectively. We have considered Silver Spike's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.80
12.79
Expected Value
14.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silver Spike stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silver Spike stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.1361
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0279
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Silver Spike observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Silver Spike Investment observations.

Predictive Modules for Silver Spike

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Spike Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2912.8414.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9710.5214.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.7212.8312.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Silver Spike

For every potential investor in Silver, whether a beginner or expert, Silver Spike's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silver Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silver Spike's price trends.

Silver Spike Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silver Spike stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silver Spike could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silver Spike by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silver Spike Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silver Spike's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silver Spike's current price.

Silver Spike Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silver Spike stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silver Spike shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silver Spike stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silver Spike Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silver Spike Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silver Spike's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silver Spike's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silver stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silver Spike to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Other Consideration for investing in Silver Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Silver Spike Investment check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Silver Spike's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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