Samsung Electronics Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SSU Stock   922.00  20.00  2.12%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Samsung Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 919.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,072. Samsung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Samsung Electronics - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Samsung Electronics prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Samsung Electronics price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Samsung Electronics.

Samsung Electronics Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Samsung Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 919.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.17, mean absolute percentage error of 547.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,072.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samsung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samsung Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Samsung Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Samsung Electronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Samsung Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Samsung Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 916.90 and 921.43, respectively. We have considered Samsung Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
922.00
916.90
Downside
919.17
Expected Value
921.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samsung Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samsung Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -4.0168
MADMean absolute deviation18.1724
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors1072.1689
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Samsung Electronics observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Samsung Electronics Co observations.

Predictive Modules for Samsung Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Samsung Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
919.74922.00924.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
802.49804.751,014
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Samsung Electronics

For every potential investor in Samsung, whether a beginner or expert, Samsung Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Samsung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Samsung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Samsung Electronics' price trends.

Samsung Electronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Samsung Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Samsung Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Samsung Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Samsung Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Samsung Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Samsung Electronics' current price.

Samsung Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Samsung Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Samsung Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Samsung Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Samsung Electronics Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Samsung Electronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Samsung Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Samsung Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting samsung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Samsung Stock Analysis

When running Samsung Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Samsung Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Samsung Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Samsung Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Samsung Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Samsung Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Samsung Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.