Grupo Supervielle Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

SUPV Stock  USD 13.03  0.87  7.15%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grupo Supervielle SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.56. Grupo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 13.79 in 2024, whereas Asset Turnover is likely to drop 0.17 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 464.9 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (3.8 B).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Grupo Supervielle is based on an artificially constructed time series of Grupo Supervielle daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Grupo Supervielle 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Grupo Supervielle SA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Supervielle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Supervielle Stock Forecast Pattern

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Grupo Supervielle Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Supervielle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Supervielle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.28 and 15.61, respectively. We have considered Grupo Supervielle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.03
12.45
Expected Value
15.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Supervielle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Supervielle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.2417
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3917
MADMean absolute deviation0.5104
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0526
SAESum of the absolute errors27.5637
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Grupo Supervielle SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Supervielle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Supervielle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7612.8115.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.746.7914.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.4711.8313.18
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.002.202.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Supervielle

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Supervielle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Supervielle's price trends.

Grupo Supervielle Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Supervielle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Supervielle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Supervielle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Supervielle Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grupo Supervielle's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grupo Supervielle's current price.

Grupo Supervielle Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Supervielle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Supervielle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Supervielle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Supervielle SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grupo Supervielle Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Supervielle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Supervielle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Grupo Stock Analysis

When running Grupo Supervielle's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Supervielle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Supervielle is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Supervielle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Supervielle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Supervielle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Supervielle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.