Silver Grail Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SVGAF Stock  USD 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Silver Grail Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20. Silver Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Silver Grail's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Silver Grail is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Silver Grail Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Silver Grail Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silver Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silver Grail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silver Grail Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Silver Grail Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silver Grail's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silver Grail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0007 and 22.08, respectively. We have considered Silver Grail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.07
0.0007
Downside
0.07
Expected Value
22.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silver Grail pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silver Grail pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.3174
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0033
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0955
SAESum of the absolute errors0.195
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Silver Grail Resources price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Silver Grail. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Silver Grail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Grail Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0722.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0522.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Silver Grail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Silver Grail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Silver Grail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Silver Grail Resources.

Other Forecasting Options for Silver Grail

For every potential investor in Silver, whether a beginner or expert, Silver Grail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silver Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silver Grail's price trends.

Silver Grail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silver Grail pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silver Grail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silver Grail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silver Grail Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Silver Grail's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Silver Grail's current price.

Silver Grail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silver Grail pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silver Grail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silver Grail pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Silver Grail Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silver Grail Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silver Grail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silver Grail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silver pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Silver Pink Sheet

Silver Grail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Grail security.