Transcoal Pacific Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Transcoal Pacific works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Transcoal Pacific Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Transcoal Pacific Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 6,847 with a mean absolute deviation of 98.06, mean absolute percentage error of 20,553, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,786.

Transcoal Pacific Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Transcoal Pacific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Transcoal Pacific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Transcoal Pacific Tbk prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Transcoal Pacific Tbk trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Transcoal Pacific observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Transcoal Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transcoal Pacific Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 6,898 6,900 6,902 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 5,920 5,922 7,590 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Transcoal Pacific

For every potential investor in Transcoal, whether a beginner or expert, Transcoal Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Transcoal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Transcoal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Transcoal Pacific's price trends.

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Transcoal Pacific Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Transcoal Pacific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Transcoal Pacific's current price.

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