Thryv Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

THRY Stock  USD 16.39  0.71  4.53%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Thryv Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 14.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.89. Thryv Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 6.35 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 13.21 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 65.6 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 34.3 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Thryv Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Thryv Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Thryv Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 14.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 0.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thryv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thryv Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thryv Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Thryv HoldingsThryv Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Thryv Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thryv Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thryv Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.83 and 18.15, respectively. We have considered Thryv Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.39
14.49
Expected Value
18.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thryv Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thryv Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0063
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.785
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0488
SAESum of the absolute errors47.8876
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Thryv Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Thryv Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thryv Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7916.4520.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7521.1524.81
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.3135.5039.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.180.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Thryv Holdings

For every potential investor in Thryv, whether a beginner or expert, Thryv Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thryv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thryv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thryv Holdings' price trends.

View Thryv Holdings Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thryv Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thryv Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thryv Holdings' current price.

Thryv Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thryv Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thryv Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thryv Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thryv Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thryv Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thryv Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thryv Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thryv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Thryv Stock Analysis

When running Thryv Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Thryv Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thryv Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Thryv Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thryv Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thryv Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thryv Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.