Telecom Italia Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

TIAJF Stock  USD 0.28  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Telecom Italia SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14. Telecom Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telecom Italia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Telecom Italia price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Telecom Italia Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Telecom Italia SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000026, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telecom Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telecom Italia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Telecom Italia Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Telecom Italia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Telecom Italia's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telecom Italia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 1.79, respectively. We have considered Telecom Italia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.28
0.28
Expected Value
1.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telecom Italia pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telecom Italia pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.5463
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0023
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0087
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1424
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Telecom Italia SpA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Telecom Italia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telecom Italia SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.281.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.231.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Telecom Italia

For every potential investor in Telecom, whether a beginner or expert, Telecom Italia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telecom Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telecom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telecom Italia's price trends.

Telecom Italia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telecom Italia pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telecom Italia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telecom Italia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telecom Italia SpA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telecom Italia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telecom Italia's current price.

Telecom Italia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telecom Italia pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telecom Italia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telecom Italia pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Telecom Italia SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telecom Italia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telecom Italia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telecom Italia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telecom pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Telecom Pink Sheet

Telecom Italia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Telecom Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Telecom with respect to the benefits of owning Telecom Italia security.