Turner Emerging Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

TMCGX Fund  USD 15.85  0.14  0.89%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Turner Emerging Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 15.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.79. Turner Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Turner Emerging price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Turner Emerging Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Turner Emerging Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 15.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Turner Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Turner Emerging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Turner Emerging Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Turner Emerging Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Turner Emerging's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Turner Emerging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.06 and 16.90, respectively. We have considered Turner Emerging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.85
15.98
Expected Value
16.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Turner Emerging mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Turner Emerging mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8514
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.174
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors10.7905
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Turner Emerging Growth historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Turner Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turner Emerging Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9315.8516.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1016.0216.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.6615.9116.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turner Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turner Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turner Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Turner Emerging Growth.

Other Forecasting Options for Turner Emerging

For every potential investor in Turner, whether a beginner or expert, Turner Emerging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Turner Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Turner. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Turner Emerging's price trends.

Turner Emerging Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Turner Emerging mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Turner Emerging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Turner Emerging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Turner Emerging Growth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Turner Emerging's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Turner Emerging's current price.

Turner Emerging Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Turner Emerging mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Turner Emerging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Turner Emerging mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Turner Emerging Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Turner Emerging Risk Indicators

The analysis of Turner Emerging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Turner Emerging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting turner mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Turner Mutual Fund

Turner Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Turner Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Turner with respect to the benefits of owning Turner Emerging security.
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