TNF Pharmaceuticals, Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TNFA Stock   1.29  0.07  5.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNF Pharmaceuticals, on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.45. TNF Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TNF Pharmaceuticals, stock prices and determine the direction of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s Receivables Turnover is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.47, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.50. . As of December 23, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 1.1 M.

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.7 M
Current Value
4.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
7.6 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for TNF Pharmaceuticals, is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TNF Pharmaceuticals, value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNF Pharmaceuticals, on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TNF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TNF Pharmaceuticals,TNF Pharmaceuticals, Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.25, respectively. We have considered TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.29
1.25
Expected Value
9.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TNF Pharmaceuticals, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TNF Pharmaceuticals, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6797
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0894
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0637
SAESum of the absolute errors5.4515
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TNF Pharmaceuticals,. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TNF Pharmaceuticals,. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TNF Pharmaceuticals,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TNF Pharmaceuticals,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.279.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.149.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TNF Pharmaceuticals,. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TNF Pharmaceuticals,.

Other Forecasting Options for TNF Pharmaceuticals,

For every potential investor in TNF, whether a beginner or expert, TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TNF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TNF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s price trends.

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TNF Pharmaceuticals, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TNF Pharmaceuticals, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TNF Pharmaceuticals, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s current price.

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TNF Pharmaceuticals, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TNF Pharmaceuticals, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TNF Pharmaceuticals, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TNF Pharmaceuticals, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TNF Pharmaceuticals, Risk Indicators

The analysis of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tnf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether TNF Pharmaceuticals, offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tnf Pharmaceuticals, Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tnf Pharmaceuticals, Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TNF Pharmaceuticals, to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade TNF Stock refer to our How to Trade TNF Stock guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TNF Pharmaceuticals,. If investors know TNF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TNF Pharmaceuticals, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(10.48)
Return On Assets
(0.32)
Return On Equity
(2.98)
The market value of TNF Pharmaceuticals, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TNF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TNF Pharmaceuticals, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TNF Pharmaceuticals,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.