Thai Solar Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TSE Stock  THB 0.90  0.01  1.12%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Thai Solar Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.91. Thai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Thai Solar is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Thai Solar Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Thai Solar Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thai Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thai Solar Stock Forecast Pattern

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Thai Solar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thai Solar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thai Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.65, respectively. We have considered Thai Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.90
0.90
Expected Value
2.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thai Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thai Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.5829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0068
MADMean absolute deviation0.0152
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors0.91
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Thai Solar Energy price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Thai Solar. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Thai Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Solar Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.902.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.822.57
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Thai Solar

For every potential investor in Thai, whether a beginner or expert, Thai Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thai Solar's price trends.

Thai Solar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thai Solar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thai Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thai Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thai Solar Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thai Solar's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thai Solar's current price.

Thai Solar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thai Solar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thai Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thai Solar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thai Solar Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thai Solar Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thai Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thai Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Solar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Solar security.