Unilever Indonesia Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Unilever Indonesia simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Unilever Indonesia Tbk are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Unilever Indonesia Tbk prices get older.

Unilever Indonesia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Unilever Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,870 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.67, mean absolute percentage error of 2,598, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,200.

Unilever Indonesia Stock Forecast Pattern

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Unilever Indonesia Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unilever Indonesia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unilever Indonesia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Unilever Indonesia Tbk forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Unilever Indonesia observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Unilever Indonesia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unilever Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 1,868 1,870 1,872 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 1,660 1,662 2,057 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 1,809 1,857 1,905 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Unilever Indonesia

For every potential investor in Unilever, whether a beginner or expert, Unilever Indonesia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Unilever Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Unilever. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Unilever Indonesia's price trends.

Unilever Indonesia Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Unilever Indonesia Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Unilever Indonesia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Unilever Indonesia's current price.

Unilever Indonesia Market Strength Events

Unilever Indonesia Risk Indicators

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