632525AW1 Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for 632525AW1 - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When 632525AW1 prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in 632525AW1 price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of NAB 2648 14.

632525AW1 Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NAB 2648 14 JAN 41 on the next trading day is expected to be 69.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 2.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.87.

632525AW1 Bond Forecast Pattern

632525AW1 Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 632525AW1 bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 632525AW1 bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past 632525AW1 observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older NAB 2648 14 JAN 41 observations.

Predictive Modules for 632525AW1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NAB 2648 14. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 67.33 69.21 71.09 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 55.10 56.98 76.13 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 62.93 68.42 73.91 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 632525AW1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 632525AW1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 632525AW1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NAB 2648 14.

Other Forecasting Options for 632525AW1

For every potential investor in 632525AW1, whether a beginner or expert, 632525AW1's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 632525AW1 Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 632525AW1. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 632525AW1's price trends.

632525AW1 Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

NAB 2648 14 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 632525AW1's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 632525AW1's current price.

632525AW1 Market Strength Events

632525AW1 Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 632525AW1 Bond